Terms of Service
1. Who runs HOP
HOP is built and operated by one person as a personal, experimental project. There is no company behind it, no team, no support desk and no investors. It is offered as-is, with no warranty of any kind — not that it will stay online, not that it is free of bugs, and not that any market resolves the way you expect.
Treat it accordingly: stake only what you would be relaxed about losing to a bug, an outage, or the project simply ending. If the operator stops running it, the intent is to settle open pools and let everyone withdraw, but that intent is not a guarantee anyone can enforce.
2. What it does
You forecast a numerical price for an asset at a stated close time and stake USDG on it. At close the pool settles and the pot is divided by a published formula: how close your number was, how early you committed to it, and how many times you changed it. Every participant gets a positive share — nobody is "wrong", only further away. The formula lives in the docs and in the source.
3. Your balance is custodial
This is the most important thing on this page. When you deposit, USDG leaves your wallet and arrives in a treasury wallet the operator controls. Your balance on HOP is a row in a database — a record of what the operator owes you. It is not USDG held in your name, not a smart-contract escrow, and not something you can claim on chain without the operator's cooperation.
Withdrawals are paid out of that same treasury wallet. You are trusting the operator to keep honest records, to keep the treasury solvent, to keep its key safe, and to process your withdrawal. If that key is lost or stolen, balances go with it. There is no insurance, no deposit protection scheme, and no third party holding anything in reserve.
4. Fees and limits
- 3% of each pool is kept by the house, taken off the pot before payouts.
- Withdrawals carry a flat 0.03 USDG fee, which pays the gas of the transfer that pays you.
- Minimum deposit 0.50 USDG.
- Minimum withdrawal 0.50 USDG.
- Each pool sets its own minimum stake, shown on the pool page before you commit.
- Placing or editing a forecast is free. Deposits cost you the Robinhood Chain network fee, paid in ETH from your own wallet.
These numbers can change. When they do, the change applies to pools opened after it, and this page is updated with the date at the top.
5. Who may use it
- You must be 18 or older, or the age of majority where you live if that is higher.
- You must not be in, or accessing from, one of the restricted jurisdictions below.
- You must not be on a sanctions list, including those maintained by OFAC, the UN, the EU or the UK.
- You must not use a VPN or proxy to get around the location check. Doing so breaches these terms, and the operator can void your entries and return your stakes.
6. Restricted jurisdictions
Access is blocked from the following jurisdictions, either because they are comprehensively sanctioned or because their regulators treat event contracts as a licensed activity. This list is a cautious starting point, not a legal opinion, and it can change without notice.
7. Risk
You can lose the whole amount you stake. Nothing here is investment advice, and no part of this site is a recommendation to buy, sell or hold anything. Tokenized stocks on Robinhood Chain are used only as price references; HOP neither sells nor custodies them, and holding a position here gives you no interest in any underlying security.
8. Privacy of forecasts
Your number and your edit count are hidden from other participants until the pool settles, so nobody can trade against your position. They are stored in the operator's database in plain form and the operator can read them. Privacy here means privacy from other users, not from the operator. See the privacy policy.
9. Settlement, voids and mistakes
A pool settles on the median of five DexScreener samples of the Robinhood Chain pool named on the pool page, taken across the close. If that price cannot be read for six hours, the pool is voided: every stake goes back to the balance it came from, with no fee taken.
If a pool settles on a price that was plainly wrong — a feed glitch, a pool drained for one block, a bug in the settlement code — the operator may reverse the payouts and either re-settle on a corrected price or void the pool and return the stakes. That decision is the operator's alone. There is no appeals panel and no arbitration process; this is a personal project, and pretending otherwise would be the dishonest part.
10. Things you must not do
- Manipulate an underlying pool or a data source to move a settlement.
- Run several wallets to distort a pool's composition or its payouts.
- Exploit a bug instead of reporting it — reported bugs get fixed and credited back.
- Use HOP to launder funds or move the proceeds of crime.
The operator can suspend an account doing any of these and return the stakes it holds, minus nothing.
11. Liability
To the extent the law where you live allows it, the operator is not liable for losses arising from using HOP: lost stakes, missed payouts, downtime, a mispriced feed, a chain reorganisation, or your own wallet being compromised. The one thing the operator does commit to is not spending your balance on anything other than paying it back to you.
12. Changes and ending
These terms can change; the date at the top says when they last did. Continuing to use HOP after a change means you accept it. You can stop at any time — withdraw your available balance and walk away. Stakes in pools that have not yet settled stay locked until they do.
13. Contact
Reach the operator through the X account linked in the footer of the site: https://x.com/hopweb3. One person reads it, so allow a few days.